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Sunday, February 24, 2013

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Oscars Academy Award Winners - Red Carpet Photos



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Best Picture   Argo   (a clear prediction)

Best Director     Steven Speilberg, Lincoln     (this one is really close, with Ang Lee, Life of Pi right behind, and others not far behind that - in part because the nomination process snubbed the "clear" predicted winners, and as Silver says, "you can’t claim to have a data-driven prediction when you don’t have any data.")

Best Actress   Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook   (although Jessica Chatain, Zero Dark Thirty is a close second)

Best Actor     Daniel-Day Lewis, Lincoln         (no contest)

Best Supporting Actress     Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables    (also no contest)

Best Supporting Actor     Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln         (less confidence there; Silver considers this the most competitive category)

Predictions by:  Nate Silver . His statistical model for pooling the polling data in the US presidential election, is now being used to predict this other important political campaign: The Academy Awards.


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